InterconnectMonitor
← All regions
ERCOTERCOT / Oncor / CenterPoint (Vistra generation)★ from research vault

Texas — ERCOT (Dallas · Houston · Permian)

Dallas–Fort Worth · Houston · Permian Basin · San Antonio

Large-load requests keep exploding — ERCOT's queue passed ~438 GW of proposed large load by mid-2026 (nearly 90% data centers), roughly double the ~233 GW of a year earlier. Yet only ~9,062 MW received Approval to Energize in the prior 12 months and ERCOT observed just ~3,900 MW of actual large-load peak in May 2026 (ERCOT Large Load Update / LLWG) — a request-to-energized ratio now on the order of 100-to-1. New batch-connection rules (PGRR145 / NPRR1325 and the PUCT-approved "Batch Zero" framework, June 18, 2026 — with interconnecting TSP submissions to ERCOT due July 24, 2026) aim to discipline the queue, but ERCOT's connect-and-manage model still energizes faster than anywhere else.

Gen delivered / qtr
5.4 GW
DC energized / qtr
638 MW
DC requested / qtr
29 GW
Realization rate
2%
Gen delivery rate
87%
Static queue drain
20.4 yr

Megawatts per quarter — requested vs energized vs delivered

Faint rose = load requested (queue inflow, padded); solid rose = load energized; green = generation delivered (the supply KPI).

Delivered generation (supply)Energized DC load (real)Requested DC load (queue inflow — padded)faded = forecast
’24-Q3’24-Q4’25-Q1’25-Q2’25-Q3’25-Q4’26-Q1’26-Q2’26-Q3’26-Q4

Quarterly throughput

QuarterGen deliveredDC energizedDC requestedRealization
2024-Q32,9003507,1005%
2024-Q44,2004009,4004%
2025-Q13,80042012,8003%
2025-Q24,60045017,5003%
2025-Q34,10048022,0002%
2025-Q45,40052028,0002%
2026-Q15,80065031,0002%
2026-Q26,20090034,0003%
2026-Q3(f)6,6001,00037,0003%
2026-Q4(f)7,0001,10040,0003%

All figures in MW. (f) = forecast. Realization = energized ÷ requested. Requested is gross queue inflow and is heavily padded — it is not energized load.

Anchor tenants & supply

  • OpenAI / Oracle “Stargate”
    Abilene · Flagship Stargate campus
    1.2 GW
    Energizing
  • Vistra (generation)
    Comanche Peak / fleet · Nuclear + gas serving load growth
    6.4 GW
    Operating
  • Meta
    Temple / El Paso
    1.0 GW
    Approved
  • Lancium / Crusoe
    Permian Basin
    1.5 GW
    Requested

Queue snapshot

Generation in queue
210 GW
Data-center load requested
438 GW
Data-center share of load
88%
Active projects
1,980
Typical interconnect wait
2.0 yr

Sources